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John 3:8 (ESV) states:

The wind blows where it wishes, and you hear its sound, but you do not know where it comes from or where it goes. So it is with everyone who is born of the Spirit.

I don't understand the comparison. It doesn't make much sense. Does Jesus mean that as the path of the wind is a mystery so does the new birth occur?

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The answer to your question comes from Jesus's own words in the following verses (v10 - v16). Jesus came from God. He spoke with God-given authority about things that He had seen and heard in heaven (v11). But the Pharisees could not accept this. They heard the sound of His voice, but they had no idea where He came from (Heaven) or where He was going (the cross - hence verses 14-16).

Nor could they ever believe, unless and until they were 'born of the Spirit' themselves. To understand the words and works of God requires new birth - hence the words of Jesus 'you must be born again'. To those without the Spirit, God's works and words through His earthly servants are like the effects of the wind; visible and audible, but mysterious, unpredictable and inexplicable.

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There is no doubt Jesus is referring to the Holy Spirit. Just like the Wind, the Spirit of the LORD can move anyone to His kingdom regardless of their status in lives or race. We cant tell who will be save or who will be called by the LORD.

The the LORD said:

Romans 9:15 ~For he saith to Moses, I will have mercy on whom I will have mercy, and I will have compassion on whom I will have compassion.

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